Automatic weekly summary of the news that moves the dollar and the markets.
· 13 events
Measures the change in the total value of new purchase orders for long-lasting manufactured goods, excluding transportation.
Reading for the dollar
The actual 0.5% figure surpassed the previous one but missed the forecast. This suggests moderate business investment growth, albeit less robust than expected.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
Reflects the total value of orders for goods lasting more than three years, including transportation equipment.
Reading for the dollar
The 1.8% increase was solid compared to the previous month, but lower than the 2.0% projected, indicating slightly slower industrial expansion than expected.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|
| 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
Evaluates the relative level of household optimism regarding current and future economic conditions.
Reading for the dollar
The 91.7 actual figure significantly beat the 81.2 forecast, suggesting strong domestic consumption resilience, which is positive for the currency.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|
| 91.7 | 81.2 | 84.2 |
Measures the annualized number of new single-family homes sold during the previous month.
Reading for the dollar
At 0.676M, the data beat the 651K forecast. It reflects a dynamic housing market despite current interest rates.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|
| 0.676M | 651K | 0.68M |
Reports the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by firms.
Reading for the dollar
The -1.892M barrel draw was larger than expected, implying higher energy demand which could indirectly influence inflationary expectations.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|
| -1.892M | 0.1M | -3.061M |
The interest rate at which depository institutions trade federal funds at the Federal Reserve.
Reading for the dollar
The rate remained at 4.00%, meeting expectations. Stability suggests a pause in monetary policy while additional data is evaluated.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|
| 4% | 4.00% | 4% |
The primary tool the Federal Open Market Committee uses to communicate monetary policy and economic outlook.
Reading for the dollar
Without specific numerical data, the market looks for clues on tone ('hawkish' or 'dovish') to determine future rate moves.
Event where the Fed Chair explains monetary policy decisions and answers press questions.
Reading for the dollar
Volatility typically increases during this event depending on how aggressive the Fed's stance is regarding inflation and growth.
The broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of national economic health.
Reading for the dollar
The 3.4% growth exceeded the 3.2% forecast and the previous figure, demonstrating a U.S. economy in accelerated expansion.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|
| 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
Measures changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy.
Reading for the dollar
The 0.3% figure aligned with forecasts, indicating that underlying inflation remains stable but still persistent.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
Reflects the annualized change in the price of all goods and services included in the gross domestic product.
Reading for the dollar
Pending official release; a figure above the 3.2% forecast would reinforce the view of resilient inflation.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|
| — | 3.2% | 6.2% |
Measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week.
Reading for the dollar
The 194K figure was lower than expected (198K), suggesting a very tight and strong labor market, which is favorable for the dollar.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|
| 194K | 198K | 195K |
Measures the change in the price businesses pay for labor, including wages and benefits.
Reading for the dollar
A 0.8% reading is expected; a higher figure would indicate wage-driven inflationary pressures, potentially pressuring the Fed.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|
| — | 0.8% | 0.9% |
Informational content. Not investment advice.
