US dollar fundamentals

Automatic weekly summary of the news that moves the dollar and the markets.

Updated: 10/6/2026

Sunday, October 11

🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bullish for the dollar

Final Services PMI

Measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the service sector, the largest component of the US GDP.

Reading for the dollar

The actual figure (58.8) slightly beat the forecast, suggesting robust expansion in the sector and strengthening economic confidence.

ActualForecastPrevious
58.858.756.5
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bearish for the dollar

ISM Services PMI

Survey that evaluates employment, production, and new orders in the service sector, a key indicator of economic health.

Reading for the dollar

The reported figure (54.9) was lower than expected and the previous data, indicating slower-than-anticipated growth in the non-manufacturing sector.

ActualForecastPrevious
54.955.155.4
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Crude Oil Inventories

Measures the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by US firms.

Reading for the dollar

No data available yet; an inventory buildup suggests lower demand, while a drawdown indicates higher economic activity.

ActualForecastPrevious
——0.922
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

FOMC Meeting Minutes

Detailed record of the Federal Reserve's most recent monetary policy meeting, revealing stances on interest rates.

Reading for the dollar

Pending publication; clues on the pace of future rate adjustments will be sought to determine the dollar's direction.

Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

FOMC Member Waller Speaks

Public intervention by a Federal Reserve Governor that typically influences market expectations regarding monetary policy.

Reading for the dollar

Speech pending; hawkish comments usually strengthen the dollar, while a dovish tone tends to weaken it.

Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Unemployment Claims

The number of individuals who filed for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week.

Reading for the dollar

A slight increase is expected (200K vs 197K); figures below forecast suggest a tight labor market and favor the dollar.

ActualForecastPrevious
—200K197K
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment

Survey on consumer confidence regarding economic activity and personal finances.

Reading for the dollar

The 47.6 forecast is lower than the previous data; a higher-than-expected result would reflect optimism and support the dollar.

ActualForecastPrevious
—47.648.1
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations

Measures the percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change over the next 12 months.

Reading for the dollar

If expectations exceed the previous 4.6%, the market might anticipate high rates for longer, which is bullish for the dollar.

ActualForecastPrevious
——4.6%
Economic calendar

Previous weeks

Informational content. Not investment advice.