US dollar fundamentals
US dollar fundamentals – Week of Aug 30, 2026
Automatic weekly summary of the news that moves the dollar and the markets.
· 13 events
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral Final Manufacturing PMI
Measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion.
Reading for the dollar
Since the actual data has not been released, the market expects a slight expansion compared to the previous month.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| — | 53.3 | 53.2 |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bearish for the dollar ISM Manufacturing PMI
Shows business conditions in the manufacturing sector, serving as a key indicator of overall economic health.
Reading for the dollar
The actual data (54.6) was lower than expected (55.2), suggesting the sector grew at a slower pace than anticipated.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| 54.6 | 55.2 | 55.6 |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bullish for the dollar ISM Manufacturing Prices
Reflects the input cost inflation faced by manufacturing firms.
Reading for the dollar
The 71.1 figure exceeded the 70.5 forecast, indicating persistent inflationary pressures in production.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| 71.1 | 70.5 | 71.1 |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bearish for the dollar JOLTS Job Openings
Measures the number of job openings, indicating labor demand in the market.
Reading for the dollar
Actual job openings (7.271M) were lower than expected (7.33M), suggesting a slight cooling in labor demand.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| 7.271M | 7.33M | 7.182M |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bearish for the dollar ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
An estimate of the monthly change in private employment based on payroll data managed by ADP.
Reading for the dollar
At 38K, the figure fell well below the expected 47K, weakening confidence in labor market strength.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| 38K | 47K | 46K |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral Crude Oil Inventories
Measures the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by US firms.
Reading for the dollar
The sharp draw of -4.45M barrels exceeded the expected reduction, which typically pressures energy prices upward.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| -4.45M | -0.4M | 0.095M |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bearish for the dollar Unemployment Claims
A weekly indicator of the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time.
Reading for the dollar
The 206K reading was slightly higher than the 205K expected, indicating a marginal increase in layoffs.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| 206K | 205K | 204K |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bullish for the dollar Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q
Measures hourly labor output efficiency; higher productivity helps contain wage inflation.
Reading for the dollar
The 1.4% figure met expectations, showing a solid improvement compared to the previous period.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral Final Services PMI
Measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the services sector, the main engine of US GDP.
Reading for the dollar
Actual data is not yet available; the market expects solid expansion to hold at 56.8.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| — | 56.8 | 56.8 |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bullish for the dollar ISM Services PMI
Leading indicator of economic health based on services sector activity.
Reading for the dollar
The 55.4 figure significantly beat the 54.2 forecast, which is very positive for the currency.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| 55.4 | 54.2 | 54.1 |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral Average Hourly Earnings m/m
Measures wage inflation, a key factor for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions.
Reading for the dollar
The 0.3% figure aligned with forecasts, indicating steady but not accelerating wage growth.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bullish for the dollar Non-Farm Employment Change
The most important employment report showing the change in the number of people employed during the month.
Reading for the dollar
The 162K actual figure massively beat the 55K expectation, greatly strengthening the dollar.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| 162K | 55K | 21K |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral Unemployment Rate
The percentage of the total labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment.
Reading for the dollar
The rate held steady at 4.1%, meeting the forecast and suggesting labor stability.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% |
Economic calendarInformational content. Not investment advice.