US dollar fundamentals

US dollar fundamentals – Week of Aug 30, 2026

Automatic weekly summary of the news that moves the dollar and the markets.

· 13 events

🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Final Manufacturing PMI

Measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion.

Reading for the dollar

Since the actual data has not been released, the market expects a slight expansion compared to the previous month.

ActualForecastPrevious
—53.353.2
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bearish for the dollar

ISM Manufacturing PMI

Shows business conditions in the manufacturing sector, serving as a key indicator of overall economic health.

Reading for the dollar

The actual data (54.6) was lower than expected (55.2), suggesting the sector grew at a slower pace than anticipated.

ActualForecastPrevious
54.655.255.6
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bullish for the dollar

ISM Manufacturing Prices

Reflects the input cost inflation faced by manufacturing firms.

Reading for the dollar

The 71.1 figure exceeded the 70.5 forecast, indicating persistent inflationary pressures in production.

ActualForecastPrevious
71.170.571.1
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bearish for the dollar

JOLTS Job Openings

Measures the number of job openings, indicating labor demand in the market.

Reading for the dollar

Actual job openings (7.271M) were lower than expected (7.33M), suggesting a slight cooling in labor demand.

ActualForecastPrevious
7.271M7.33M7.182M
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bearish for the dollar

ADP Non-Farm Employment Change

An estimate of the monthly change in private employment based on payroll data managed by ADP.

Reading for the dollar

At 38K, the figure fell well below the expected 47K, weakening confidence in labor market strength.

ActualForecastPrevious
38K47K46K
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Crude Oil Inventories

Measures the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by US firms.

Reading for the dollar

The sharp draw of -4.45M barrels exceeded the expected reduction, which typically pressures energy prices upward.

ActualForecastPrevious
-4.45M-0.4M0.095M
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bearish for the dollar

Unemployment Claims

A weekly indicator of the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time.

Reading for the dollar

The 206K reading was slightly higher than the 205K expected, indicating a marginal increase in layoffs.

ActualForecastPrevious
206K205K204K
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bullish for the dollar

Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q

Measures hourly labor output efficiency; higher productivity helps contain wage inflation.

Reading for the dollar

The 1.4% figure met expectations, showing a solid improvement compared to the previous period.

ActualForecastPrevious
1.4%1.4%0.8%
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Final Services PMI

Measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the services sector, the main engine of US GDP.

Reading for the dollar

Actual data is not yet available; the market expects solid expansion to hold at 56.8.

ActualForecastPrevious
—56.856.8
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bullish for the dollar

ISM Services PMI

Leading indicator of economic health based on services sector activity.

Reading for the dollar

The 55.4 figure significantly beat the 54.2 forecast, which is very positive for the currency.

ActualForecastPrevious
55.454.254.1
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Average Hourly Earnings m/m

Measures wage inflation, a key factor for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions.

Reading for the dollar

The 0.3% figure aligned with forecasts, indicating steady but not accelerating wage growth.

ActualForecastPrevious
0.3%0.3%0.2%
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bullish for the dollar

Non-Farm Employment Change

The most important employment report showing the change in the number of people employed during the month.

Reading for the dollar

The 162K actual figure massively beat the 55K expectation, greatly strengthening the dollar.

ActualForecastPrevious
162K55K21K
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Unemployment Rate

The percentage of the total labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment.

Reading for the dollar

The rate held steady at 4.1%, meeting the forecast and suggesting labor stability.

ActualForecastPrevious
4.1%4.1%4.1%
Economic calendar

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Informational content. Not investment advice.