US dollar fundamentals

US dollar fundamentals – Week of Aug 10, 2026

Automatic weekly summary of the news that moves the dollar and the markets.

· 7 events

🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Core CPI m/m

Measures the change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy sectors due to high volatility.

Reading for the dollar

The actual reading of 0.2% matched expectations, suggesting controlled but persistent inflation that maintains Fed caution.

ActualForecastPrevious
0.2%0.2%0%
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Core CPI y/y

Reflects underlying inflation in a twelve-month comparison, being a key indicator for interest rate decisions.

Reading for the dollar

The 2.5% figure met the forecast, showing a slight deceleration from the previous 2.6%, slightly easing upward pressure on the dollar.

ActualForecastPrevious
2.5%2.5%2.6%
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

CPI m/m

Measures the evolution of retail prices for the total basic basket, including energy and food.

Reading for the dollar

The 0.1% actual increase compared to the previous -0.4% indicates a return to a positive inflationary path, aligned with market expectations.

ActualForecastPrevious
0.1%0.1%-0.4%
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bearish for the dollar

CPI y/y

Indicates the change in consumer prices over the last year; it is the main thermometer of general inflation.

Reading for the dollar

The 3.4% reading confirms an inflationary moderation compared to the previous month, which can be interpreted as a factor of relative weakness for the dollar.

ActualForecastPrevious
3.4%3.4%3.5%
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bearish for the dollar

Core PPI m/m

Measures the change in the selling prices of domestic producers, excluding food and energy.

Reading for the dollar

The 0.2% actual data was lower than the expected 0.3%, suggesting lower inflationary pressures from the production side.

ActualForecastPrevious
0.2%0.3%0.4%
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bearish for the dollar

PPI m/m

Measures the change in the prices received by producers of goods and services; it is a leading indicator of consumer inflation.

Reading for the dollar

The 0% result (unchanged) versus the expected 0.2% shows a relaxation in industrial costs, weakening the 'higher for longer' rate narrative.

ActualForecastPrevious
0%0.2%-0.1%
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

President Trump Speaks

Public intervention that may include comments on U.S. economic, fiscal, or trade policy.

Reading for the dollar

Impact depends on rhetoric regarding tariffs, the dollar, or the Fed; usually generates high volatility in financial markets.

Economic calendar

Previous weeks

Informational content. Not investment advice.