US dollar fundamentals
US dollar fundamentals – Week of Aug 17, 2026
Automatic weekly summary of the news that moves the dollar and the markets.
· 14 events
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral Treasury Sec Bessent Speaks
Measures the impact of statements from the top Treasury official regarding fiscal policy and public debt.
Reading for the dollar
Markets seek clues on economic policy direction; comments on fiscal stability typically strengthen the dollar.
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral CB Consumer Confidence
Measures the level of consumer optimism regarding general economic activity and the labor market.
Reading for the dollar
A reading above the 90.3 forecast would suggest higher future spending, supporting the dollar.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| — | 90.3 | 90.8 |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral New Home Sales
Reflects the number of contracts signed for the sale of new homes during the previous month.
Reading for the dollar
A decrease to 620K is expected; a higher figure would indicate resilience in the housing sector and economic strength.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| — | 620K | 628K |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral Core PCE Price Index m/m
The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, excluding food and energy prices.
Reading for the dollar
An increase above the 0.2% forecast would pressure the Fed to keep rates high, favoring the dollar.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| — | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral Prelim GDP q/q
Measures the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy on an annualized basis.
Reading for the dollar
If the data exceeds the estimated 1.5%, it would confirm more robust economic growth than expected.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| — | 1.5% | 1.5% |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral Prelim GDP Price Index q/q
Reflects the annualized change in the prices of all goods and services included in the GDP.
Reading for the dollar
A reading above 6.2% would indicate widespread inflationary pressures within domestic production.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| — | 6.2% | 6.2% |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
Measures the value of purchase orders for long-lasting manufactured goods, excluding transportation.
Reading for the dollar
A figure higher than 0.5% would indicate that businesses are maintaining their long-term investment plans.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| — | 0.5% | 0.6% |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral Durable Goods Orders m/m
Includes all orders for goods with a lifespan of at least three years.
Reading for the dollar
A slight increase to 0.5% is expected; higher data suggests an expansion in heavy manufacturing.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| — | 0.5% | 0.3% |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral Crude Oil Inventories
Measures the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil in inventory.
Reading for the dollar
Lower inventories usually raise energy prices, indirectly impacting inflation expectations.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| — | — | 4.405 |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral Unemployment Claims
Records the number of individuals who filed for unemployment benefits for the first time during the week.
Reading for the dollar
A figure below 208K would suggest a still-tight labor market, which is positive for the currency.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| — | 208K | 206K |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral Fed Chairman Warsh Speaks
Public interventions by the head of U.S. monetary policy.
Reading for the dollar
An aggressive (hawkish) tone regarding inflation control would strengthen demand for the dollar.
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral Prelim Benchmark Payrolls Revision
Statistical adjustment of historical non-farm payroll creation data.
Reading for the dollar
Given previous negative revisions, a correction smaller than -911K would be seen as a sign of better labor health.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| — | — | -911K |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment
Reflects consumer confidence based on University of Michigan surveys.
Reading for the dollar
Remaining at 51.0 or exceeding it would confirm stability in consumer economic perception.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| — | 51.0 | 51.0 |
Economic calendar🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral Revised UoM Inflation Expectations
Shows the percentage consumers expect prices to change in the future.
Reading for the dollar
If expectations exceed 4.3%, it would increase fears of persistent inflation, affecting the dollar.
| Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| — | — | 4.3% |
Economic calendarInformational content. Not investment advice.