US dollar fundamentals

US dollar fundamentals – Week of Aug 24, 2026

Automatic weekly summary of the news that moves the dollar and the markets.

· 11 events

🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

ISM Manufacturing PMI

Measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion.

Reading for the dollar

A figure above the 55.2 forecast suggests industrial strength and typically strengthens the dollar.

ActualForecastPrevious
—55.255.6
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

ISM Manufacturing Prices

Reflects inflation in the industrial sector by measuring prices paid by companies for raw materials and services.

Reading for the dollar

If the result exceeds the expected 71.2, it indicates inflationary pressures that could push the Fed to maintain high rates.

ActualForecastPrevious
—71.271.1
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

JOLTS Job Openings

Quantifies the number of job vacancies available, excluding the agricultural sector.

Reading for the dollar

A figure higher than 7.33 million would indicate a tight and resilient labor market, supporting the USD.

ActualForecastPrevious
—7.33M7.36M
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

ADP Non-Farm Employment Change

Estimated monthly change in private employment based on payroll data processed by ADP.

Reading for the dollar

Growth exceeding 47k jobs is interpreted as a sign of private sector health ahead of official data.

ActualForecastPrevious
—47K44K
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Crude Oil Inventories

Measures the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil in inventory.

Reading for the dollar

While it impacts oil more, an increase in inventories can indicate lower global economic demand, indirectly affecting the USD.

ActualForecastPrevious
——0.095
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Unemployment Claims

Records the number of people who filed for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week.

Reading for the dollar

Figures below 205k suggest a robust labor market, which is bullish for the U.S. currency.

ActualForecastPrevious
—205K203K
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q

Measures labor efficiency in terms of output per hour worked.

Reading for the dollar

An upward revision from 1.4% favors growth without immediate inflationary pressures, being positive for the USD.

ActualForecastPrevious
—1.4%1.4%
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

ISM Services PMI

Evaluates the status of the service sector, which represents the largest part of the US GDP.

Reading for the dollar

Staying above 54.1 confirms the expansion of the services sector, supporting the strong economy thesis.

ActualForecastPrevious
—54.154.1
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Average Hourly Earnings m/m

Measures the change in the price companies pay for labor, a key indicator of wage inflation.

Reading for the dollar

An increase above the 0.3% forecast could alert to inflationary pressures, boosting the dollar on rate expectations.

ActualForecastPrevious
—0.3%0.1%
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Non-Farm Employment Change

Represents the change in the number of people employed during the last month, excluding the agricultural industry.

Reading for the dollar

A figure above the 58k forecast (especially after the previous -23k) would be very bullish for the USD due to employment resilience.

ActualForecastPrevious
—58K-23K
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Unemployment Rate

Measures the percentage of the total labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment.

Reading for the dollar

If the rate falls below 4.1%, it is interpreted as a signal of full employment that strengthens the dollar.

ActualForecastPrevious
—4.1%4.1%
Economic calendar

Previous weeks

Informational content. Not investment advice.