US dollar fundamentals

US dollar fundamentals – Week of Oct 18, 2026

Automatic weekly summary of the news that moves the dollar and the markets.

· 6 events

🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bullish for the dollar

Crude Oil Inventories

Measures the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by US firms.

Reading for the dollar

The -3.061M drawdown, larger than expected, suggests robust demand or tighter supply, potentially supporting energy prices.

ActualForecastPrevious
-3.061M-0.1M-8.557M
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bullish for the dollar

Unemployment Claims

Records the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week.

Reading for the dollar

The 194K reading is lower than expected, indicating a resilient labor market and strengthening the Fed's case for higher rates.

ActualForecastPrevious
194K200K200K
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bullish for the dollar

Flash Manufacturing PMI

Surveys purchasing managers in the industrial sector regarding current business conditions; above 50 indicates expansion.

Reading for the dollar

The actual reading of 56 beat the 55.4 forecast, showing stronger than anticipated expansion in industrial activity.

ActualForecastPrevious
5655.455.9
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Flash Services PMI

Evaluates the level of activity of purchasing managers in the services sector, the largest component of the US economy.

Reading for the dollar

The 57.9 figure met expectations exactly, remaining in solid expansion territory although below the previous month's level.

ActualForecastPrevious
57.957.958.8
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)Bullish for the dollar

Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment

Survey measuring consumer confidence levels regarding economic activity and personal finances.

Reading for the dollar

The 48 reading outperformed the 46.3 forecast, reflecting a more optimistic consumer than expected, favoring internal consumption.

ActualForecastPrevious
4846.348.1
Economic calendar
🐂🐂🐂 High impact (3 bulls)No data / neutral

Revised UoM Inflation Expectations

Measures the percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months.

Reading for the dollar

No actual data published for the revised period; markets watch this data to anticipate future inflationary pressures.

ActualForecastPrevious
——4.7%
Economic calendar

Previous weeks

Informational content. Not investment advice.